ICSC SERIES DEBUNKS 'CONSENSUS', SUGGESTS SOLUTION TO ENDING CLIMATE SCARE

July 7 - 17, 2010: Six part series by Tom Harris, ICSC Executive Director:

Part 1: Smoke and mirrors in the climate science debate - Do climate experts really agree that we are causing a climate crisis?

Part 2: Yet More Smoke and Mirrors in the Climate Science Game - Do individual scientist members really support the extreme statements of their societies?

Part 3: Bafflegab and BS in the climate debate - Do scientific society open letters really say what we are told they say?

Part 4: Governments still promote climate fears despite contradictory advice from thousands of experts - Main stream media, and many politicians have a vested interest in maintaining alarm

Part 5: Politicizing the climate science debate has boosted alarmism

Part 6: Time for a new, inclusive approach to the climate science debate - mudslinging is just helping the climate scare drag on

 
NEWS RELEASE - LEADING EXPERTS RAPIDLY ENDORSING 'CLIMATE SCIENTISTS' REGISTER'

Carbon dioxide NOT causing a climate crisis, say scientists


Ottawa, Canada, June 30, 2010The Climate Scientists’ Register, started one month ago by International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC), has just passed its first 100 expert endorsers – see here.  By allowing their names to be added to the signatory list, these scientists are endorsing the following physical science statement:  

“We, the undersigned, having assessed the relevant scientific evidence, do not find convincing support for the hypothesis that human emissions of carbon dioxide are causing, or will in the foreseeable future cause, dangerous global warming."


“Unlike most other public declarations about climate, The Register only includes the endorsements of individuals who have significant expertise in understanding the causes of climate change”, explains ICSC Executive Director This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it .  “By ensuring that the Register statement is apolitical and non-commercial, it is attracting support from scientists across the political spectrum, an important objective if public policy is to be based on the best in non-partisan science.”

“Contrary to the common assumption that only ‘outliers’ and unqualified researchers disagree with the theory of carbon dioxide-induced climate disaster, The Register demonstrates that many leading experts contest this hypothesis”, said Register endorser Dr. Tim Patterson, ICSC Chair and Professor of Earth Sciences at Carleton University (Ottawa, Canada). "Many in the Earth Sciences community in particular have trouble with the concept that today’s climate change is in any way unusual or driven by human activity.  Climate has always changed, at times far faster than we are witnessing today, and it will continue to change no matter what we do.”

Fellow endorser and ICSC science advisor, Dr. Robert M. Carter, Professor at the Marine Geophysical Laboratory of James Cook University (Townsville, Australia) elaborates: "Many researchers recognize that the already weak case for dangerous man-made global warming is getting weaker still as the science matures.  With the admission of Dr. Mike Hulme (Reference 1, below), a prominent climate scientist and UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) insider, that “only a few dozen experts in the specific field of detection and attribution studies”, not thousands as is commonly asserted by the IPCC and others, “reached a consensus that human activities are having a significant influence on the climate”, the quickly achieved 127 current endorsers to the Register should provide an incentive for media and the public to reassess popular but misguided beliefs about what scientists who study the causes of climate change are actually concluding.”

ICSC Policy Advisory Board member Climate Data Analyst John McLean of Melbourne, Australia explains that, “of the roughly 2,500 independent reviewers of the latest IPCC report, only 61 commented, and not all of them in agreement, on the critical Chapter 9 of the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC.  This was the chapter that attempted to attribute warming to human activity on the basis of climate models that elsewhere the IPCC report shows cannot be accurate.   It is clear that the InterAcademy Council currently reviewing IPCC processes needs to include among their recommendations that the IPCC must be more honest in its claims about the magnitude of the consensus, better yet, any mention of consensus should be banned because scientific truth is not determined by the number of people supporting a notion.”

To view the list of current endorsers of The Climate Scientists’ Register or to learn more about the project, visit http://www.climatescienceinternational.org or contact:

Tom Harris, B. Eng., M. Eng. (Mech. - thermo-fluids)
Executive Director
International Climate Science Coalition
P.O. Box 23013
Ottawa, Canada
K1A 4E2
613-728-9200
Email: This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it

Reference 1: see p. 10, 11 of Hulme’s April 12, 2010 paper in “Progress in Physical Geography” at http://tinyurl.com/2b3cq3r.

The International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC) is an apolitical association of independent scientists, economists and energy and policy experts who have joined together to promote better public understanding of climate science and policy worldwide. We wish to help create an environment in which a more rational, open discussion about climate issues emerge, thereby helping move the debate away from implementation of costly and ineffectual ‘climate control’ measures.
 
ICSC INVITES ENDORSERS TO "THE CLIMATE SCIENTISTS' REGISTER"

Updated June 8, 2010: Climate science experts who study the causes of climate change are invited to endorseThe Register by clicking here or by contacting Tom Harris, ICSC Executive Director, at This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it  or 613-728-9200 (Canada).  The complete text of The Climate Scientists' Register is simply the following apolitical, non-commercial, physical science message:

 

“We, the undersigned, having assessed the relevant scientific evidence, do not find convincing support for the hypothesis that human emissions of carbon dioxide are causing, or will in the foreseeable future cause, dangerous global warming."

 

Endorsers as of June 15, 2010 may be seen here

Learn more about The Climate Scientists' Register.

Media who wish to discuss The Register are invited to contact Tom Harris at the above coordinates.

 
TIME TO EXPAND THE TENT OF SUPPORTERS OF CLIMATE REALISM

May 9, 2010: "International Climate Science Coalition Launches Register of Climate Realists" by Tom Harris, Executive Director, ICSC.  Published in Environment and Climate News from the Center on Climate and Environmental Policy at The Heartland Institute, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.

"For climate realism to triumph ... will require the vast majority of the public to come to regard AGW concerns as unfounded. This can only happen by quickly expanding the tent of supporters of realistic, science-based climate policies to include citizens of many different political persuasions, social philosophies, and commercial interests."

Read whole piece.

 
U.S. STATE DEPARTMENT CLIMATE ACTION REPORT VIOLATES SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE-BASED FORECASTING METHODS

May 7, 2010: "Global Warming Alarm Based on Faulty Forecasting Procedures: Comments on the United States Department of State's U.S. Climate Action Report 2010. 5th ed.", submited May 4, 2010 by:

J. Scott Armstrong (Ph.D., MIT, 1968), a Professor at the Wharton School of Management, University of Pennsylvania, is the author of Long-range Forecasting, the creator of forecastingprinciples.com, and editor of Principles of Forecasting (Kluwer 2001), an evidence-based summary of knowledge on forecasting methods. He is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting, and the International Symposium on Forecasting, and he has spent 50 years doing research and consulting on forecasting. ( This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it )

Kesten C. Green of the International Graduate School of Business at the University of South Australia is a Director of the International Institute of Forecasters and is co-director with Scott Armstrong of the Forecasting Principles public service Internet site (ForPrin.com). He has been responsible for the development of two forecasting methods that provide forecasts that are substantially more accurate than commonly used methods. ( This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it )

Willie Soon is an astrophysicist and a geoscientist at the Solar, Stellar, and Planetary Sciences division of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. He is also the receiving editor in the area of solar and stellar physics for the journal New Astronomy. He has 20 years of active researching and publishing in the area of climate change and all views expressed are strictly his own. ( This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it )

"Our research findings challenge the basic assumptions of the State Department's Fifth U.S. Climate Action Report (CAR 2010). The alarming forecasts of dangerous manmade global warming are not the product of proper scientific evidence-based forecasting methods. Furthermore, there have been no validation studies to support a belief that the forecasting procedures used were nevertheless appropriate for the situation. As a consequence, alarming forecasts of global warming are merely the opinions of some scientists and, for a situation as complicated and poorly understood as global climate, such opinions are unlikely to be as accurate as forecasts that global temperatures will remain much the same as they have been over recent years. Using proper forecasting procedures we predict that the global warming alarm will prove false and that government actions in response to the alarm will be shown to have been harmful."

Read whole submission on Climate Depot.

 
CLIMATEGATE AND OTHER SCIENCE SCANDLES BEING SWEPT ASIDE

April 24, 2010: "Alarmists keep ringing the bell", by Dr. Richard S. Lindzen, Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A., published in The Australian.

"There are, however, some things left unmentioned about the IPCC claims. For example, the observations are consistent with models only if emissions include arbitrary amounts of reflective aerosols or particles (arising, for example, from industrial sulfates) that are used to cancel much of the warming predicted by the models. Without such adjustments, the observations are consistent with there being sufficiently little warming as to constitute a problem not worth worrying about much."

Read whole piece.

 
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