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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
CLIMATE REALIST DR. CHRIS DE FREITAS PASSES AWAY

July 12, 2017: ICSC announces the sad passing away of our Consultant Science Adviser, Associate Professor Chris R. de Freitas, a climate scientist and professor in the School of Environment, The University of Auckland, New Zealand. He died at the age of 69 after a two-year battle with cancer. As cited from the University of Auckland's web site:

"Chris de Freitas received his early education in Trinidad in the West Indies. He completed Bachelors and Masters degrees at the University of Toronto in Canada and a PhD at the University of Queensland in Australia as a Commonwealth Doctoral Scholar.

"During his time at The University of Auckland he has served as Deputy Dean of Science, Head of Science and Technology at the Tamaki campus and four years as Pro Vice Chancellor. He has been Vice President of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand, Vice President of the International Society of Biometeorologyand and is co-founder of the Australia New Zealand Climate Forum. For 10 years he was an editor of the international journal 'Climate Research'.

Dr. Chris R. de Freitas

"Chris is an advocate of open and well informed reporting on scientific issues and has written extensively in newspapers and magazines on a variety of environment-related themes, including air quality, flood and drought hazards, environmental conservation and climate change. In recognition of this, he has three times been the recipient of the New Zealand Association of Scientists, Science Communicator Award."

Chris spoke at the Fourth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC-4), in Chicago in May, 2010. You can watch the video hereHe also spoke at the Fifth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC-5) — the first held outside the United States — which took place on October 1, 2010 in Sydney, Australia - see Chris' presentation here.

To learn more about this news, please visit the New Zealand Herald Web page here. Our condolences go out to Chris’ wife Nancy and sons Colin and Andrew.


 
TRUMP RIGHT TO KILL CLEAN POWER PLAN

Click on article to expand to readeable text.


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
GETTING OUT OF THE PARIS AGREEMENT THE RIGHT WAY

November 22, 2016: "How Trump Can Completely Withdraw U.S. From UN 'Climate' Deals," by Tom Harris, published in PJ Media, Los Angeles, California.

"President-elect Donald Trump has said he will cancel American involvement in the Paris Agreement on climate change. Commentators have pointed out that, under the treaty’s rules, Trump would need to wait three years from the date on which it came into force, November 4, 2016, to officially notify the United Nations of U.S. cancellation. Even then, the withdrawal will not take effect until one year later.

"However, there is a faster, more effective way for the U.S. to exit the Paris Agreement."

Read whole article.


 
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