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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS |
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September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. "Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons." Read the whole paper. Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors. Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser. |
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ICSC SERIES DEBUNKS 'CONSENSUS', SUGGESTS SOLUTION TO ENDING CLIMATE SCARE |
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July 7 - 17, 2010: Six part series by Tom Harris, ICSC Executive Director: Part 1: Smoke and mirrors in the climate science debate - Do climate experts really agree that we are causing a climate crisis? Part 2: Yet More Smoke and Mirrors in the Climate Science Game - Do individual scientist members really support the extreme statements of their societies? Part 3: Bafflegab and BS in the climate debate - Do scientific society open letters really say what we are told they say? Part 4: Governments still promote climate fears despite contradictory advice from thousands of experts - Main stream media, and many politicians have a vested interest in maintaining alarm Part 5: Politicizing the climate science debate has boosted alarmism Part 6: Time for a new, inclusive approach to the climate science debate - mudslinging is just helping the climate scare drag on |
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TIME TO EXPAND THE TENT OF SUPPORTERS OF CLIMATE REALISM |
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May 9, 2010: "International Climate Science Coalition Launches Register of Climate Realists" by Tom Harris, Executive Director, ICSC. Published in Environment and Climate News from the Center on Climate and Environmental Policy at The Heartland Institute, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A. "For climate realism to triumph ... will require the vast majority of the public to come to regard AGW concerns as unfounded. This can only happen by quickly expanding the tent of supporters of realistic, science-based climate policies to include citizens of many different political persuasions, social philosophies, and commercial interests." Read whole piece. |
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AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR |
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November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia. "Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply. As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong." Read the whole piece. Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri. The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk. Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway). |
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IRISH ENVIRONMENT MINISTER PROMOTES CLIMATE REALISM ON RADIO ACROSS CANADA |
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November 1, 2008: Hear interview with Northern Ireland's Environment Minister, Sammy Wilson, on The Roy Green Show heard across Canada on the Corus Radio network. |
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