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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
UN SECRETARY GENERAL CONTINUES TO IGNORE CLIMATE REALISTS

December 12, 2014: United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon demonstrated that he remains out of touch with the realities of climate science when he asserted on Tuesday that "Science has not only spoken – it is shouting from the rooftops. Our planet has a fever – and it is getting hotter every day."

On three occasions, leading climate experts have explained, via widely publicized open letters delivered to Mr. Ban's office, where he is going wrong on the science:

Click here to see the 2012 letter sent to coincide with the UN Climate Change Conference in Doha, Qatar. 

Click here to see the 2009 letter sent to coincide with the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen. 

Click here to see the 2007 letter sent to coincide with the UN Climate Change Conference in Bali, Indonesia. 

The Secretary General did not even acknowledge receipt of the open letters, let alone address any of the scientists’ concerns.


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
NEWS RELEASE - UN SHOULD CONCENTRATE ON WHAT PEOPLE WANT

Attention: News Editors, Political, Science and Environment Reporters

TIME FOR THE UN TO GET OUT OF CLIMATE CHANGE

Negotiators and Secretary General continue to ignore scientists and public opinion

Ottawa, Canada, December 13, 2014: “Climate change negotiators in Lima, Peru seemed oblivious to the findings of the UN’s ongoing My World survey about what the people of the world really want the agency to focus on,” said Tom Harris, executive director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC). “The seven million people polled so far indicate that, in comparison with issues such as education, health care, jobs, and energy, they care very little about climate change.”

“Perhaps most out of touch with reality is the UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon himself who on Wednesday asserted that climate change remains his ‘top priority’," continued Harris.

ICSC chief science advisor, Professor Bob Carter, former Head of the Department of Earth Sciences at James Cook University in Australia explained, “That ‘action taken on climate change’ rates dead last among the 16 priorities the public wants to see action on is not surprising. They understand that the remote possibility of human activity contributing to climate problems decades from now is unimportant in comparison with the very real problems faced by the world’s poor today.

Read whole news release here.


 
LUCTOR ET EMERGO - SCHOLARLY REVIEW OF SEA LEVELS ISSUES

December 1, 2014: The question of whether and by how much sea levels may rise or fall under the influence of "global warming" has been rekindled in New Zealand by the recent release of a report by the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment, Dr. Jan Wright. It is apparent that whatever other advice Dr. Wright may have relied on, the year-old report by NZCSC scientist Dr. Gerrit van der Lingen was not one of them. For that reason, it is timely to make that well-researched 29-page report available here. It has been highly recommended for its depth and scholarship by no less an authority than Professor Freeman Dyson.

Download pdf file here.


 
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