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MORE ON WHY AGW IS AN UNPROVEN HYPOTHESIS

Dr Gerrit van der LIngen, of Christchurch, New Zealand, a member of the Science Advisory Board of ICSC, responds to crtique of his original article in Christchurch magazine Avenues

Climate change or climate con?

Global warming, climate change, call it what you like; it seems to be here with us in one way or
another. For the past three years, debate has raged sporadically, especially in the Letters section of The
Press and other dailies. In our past two issues, Avenues has attempted to provide a far wider and more
comprehensive forum for this debate.

To this end, two acknowledged and published experts, with views at opposite ends of the climate
change spectrum, have been invited to present these views in a written debate in this magazine. In
February, Dr Gerrit van der Lingen, a professed climate change ‘agnostic’ made his case. In our March
issue, Professor Bryan Storey, firmly on the other side of the climate change fence, was given equal
space to present his views. This month, Dr van der Lingen has the opportunity to rebut these views,
then the following month Professor Storey will have a further chance to critique and rebut Dr van der
Lingen’s prior assertions. Finally, the cases put by both scientists will be weighed, evaluated and
judged by a single, independent and highly experienced adjudicator.

This whole project is a major one, and something Avenues has not entered into lightly. We are though,
if one side is to be believed, facing the single greatest threat to life in the history of humankind. If the
other side is correct, we are in the midst of the single greatest, stage-managed deception in recorded
history. The debate continues. Editor

APOCALYPSE CANCELLED

By Gerrit van der Lingen

Abbreviations: In this article I will use the following: MMGW – Man-made Global Warming; IPCC –
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; NIPCC – Nongovernmental International Panel on
Climate Change; ppmv – parts per million by volume.

Update:

Before commenting on Professor Bryan Storey’s article in the March issue of Avenues (‘Evidence for
climate change’), I want to start with an update on two items I discussed in my article in the February
issue, items essential to this debate.

1. I mentioned some of the worldwide extreme cold events in recent time. Since then many more
have made the headlines:
- China experienced its worst snowstorms in 50 years, affecting millions of people. More than
100,000 houses collapsed under the weight of snow
- Avalanches in the Indian Kashmir, caused by the worst snowfall in decades, killed 22 people
- A record-breaking cold spell in Vietnam killed about 60,000 cattle
- On 30 January, 20cm of snow fell in Jerusalem
- North America was hit by severe winter storms
- The exceptional cold spell also affected the Arctic. Sea-ice between Canada and Greenland
reached its largest extent in 15 years. In many places the ice was 10 to 20cm thicker than last
year
- The northern hemisphere recorded its largest snow cover since 1966 (reversing the trend of
Professor Storey’s Figure 4c)
- On November 17, 2007, Buenos Aires recorded its lowest temperature in 90 years

The list goes go on and on. However, the amazing aspect of these cold events was the fact that
environmental organisations and most of the media maintained a deafening silence about the majority
of these extreme cold spells. They certainly never wondered if this was typical for global warming. It
would have been a different story had there been a heat wave, like the 2003 one in Europe.

link to download rest of article as a pdf file.