U.K. MET OFFICE CONFESSES-- NO GLOBAL WARMING IN 16 YEARS

October 14, 2012: "Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released... and here is the chart to prove it", by David Rose, The Mail, London, United Kingdom.

"The figures reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012 there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.

"This means that the ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996.

“But according to increasing numbers of serious climate scientists, it does suggest that the computer models that have for years been predicting imminent doom, such as those used by the Met Office and the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, are flawed, and that the climate is far more complex than the models assert."

“Meanwhile, his Met Office colleagues were sticking to their guns. A spokesman said: ‘Choosing a starting or end point on short-term scales can be very misleading. Climate change can only be detected from multi-decadal timescales due to the inherent variability in the climate system.’ He said that for the plateau to last any more than 15 years was ‘unlikely’.

October 17, 2012: ICSC Executive Director Tom Harris discusses
the temperature plateau on The Charles Adler Show on Sun Media TV broadcast across Canada.

"Asked about a prediction that the Met Office made in 2009 – that three of the ensuing five years would set a new world temperature record – he made no comment.”

ICSC comment: It is not surprising that he had no comment. The forecast is already proven wrong, as shown in the graph the Met Office boosts as being an accurate plot of "global temperature".

ICSC note: In the above graph, "HADCRUT4 has introduced a bias ... by increasing [in comparison with HADCRUT3] coverage of the warmer Arctic but not doing the same in the cooler Antarctic." See here for more discussion on this. HADCRUT4 cannot be taken seriously until it includes more southern temperature data.


Here is a zoom-in on the past three years of HADCRUT3 data:

The newspaper piece concludes:

“The most depressing feature of this debate is that anyone who questions the alarmist, doomsday scenario will automatically be labelled a climate change ‘denier’, and accused of jeopardising the future of humanity. So let’s be clear. Yes: global warming is real, and some of it at least has been caused by the CO2 emitted by fossil fuels. But the evidence is beginning to suggest that it may be happening much slower than the catastrophists have claimed – a conclusion with enormous policy implications.”

ICSC comment:

The science backing the climate scare clearly continues to fall apart. But, with the billions of dollars still supporting it, and many media and politicians heavily invested in perpetuating the scare, it will continue for some time to come, continuing to cost society plenty. Helping shorten the time the climate scare continues is ICSC’s main job right now.

We have our work cut out for us. Consider the recent upsurge in popular support in the U.S. for the idea that “global warming” is caused by human activities:

… and the last time this poll was taken was BEFORE the hot summer that many opinion leaders (wrongly) attribute to human CO2 emissions. Remember, for Canadians: The Government has made it clear that Canada will follow the U.S. lead on climate change policy and President Obama, or Romney, will almost certainly follow U.S. public opinion.

Read whole piece from The Mail in the U.K.