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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
THE WAR ON COAL IS A WAR ON THE ENVIRONMENT AND THE POOR

December 20, 2017: "When clean, affordable fuel isn’t good enough for Gore," by Bryan Leyland, energy issues adviser of the International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC), and Tom Harris, ICSC executive director.

"Former Vice President Al Gore should have used this month’s “24 Hours of Reality” internet broadcast to encourage the Trump administration to withdraw all carbon-dioxide emission rules on future power stations. Then the United States could replace its old, inefficient coal-fired power plants with modern, clean, efficient coal stations, just as they are doing in Europe, India and China."

Read whole article.


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
CLIMATE REALIST HERO JOHN COLEMAN PASSES AWAY

January 21, 2018: "RIP: Weather Channel founder John Coleman dies – Called ‘global warming’ a ‘hoax’," by Marc Morano, publisher, Climate Depot.

Climate Depot’s Marc Morano's statement: “I am shocked and saddened by the loss of John so suddenly. John has been a close alley and was featured in the film Climate Hustle and wrote the forward for my upcoming book (Feb. 2018): The Politically Incorrect Gude to Climate Change.  Coleman was a giant among meteorologists and had the courage to call out ‘global warming’ claims and go after Al Gore, Bill Nye and many others. The meteorological world lost a giant today!” 

Watch John in action below! We have lost a true hero of climate realism!

 


 
ICSC'S STATEMENT CONCERNING END OF COMPETITION BOARD ENQUIRY

September 7, 2017: Concerning the quotes from Tom Harris in "Feds halt probe of climate doubters," published in The National Observer on September 7, 2017, here is the full statement provided to reporter Carl Meyer:

"The complainants apparently think that they know the truth about the causes and consequences of climate change. But this makes no sense. This is not just because the science is enormously complicated with scientists' holding at times radically different points of view. It is also because scientific hypotheses, and even scientific theories, are not truth; they can be, and often are, wrong. Truth applies to things like mathematics or chess in which we write the rules. But truth never applies to our findings about nature, which are merely educated opinions based on scientists’ interpretations of observations.

"When authorities promote truth about science, progress stops. I am glad the Competition Bureau did not fall into this trap. Its time to open up, not shut down, the debate about climate change, one of the most complex and costly issues of our age."

Tom Harris

Executive Director - ICSC

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