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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
OBAMA NOT PRACTICING WHAT HE PREACHES

LETTER TO THE EDITOR OF THE WASHINGTON TIMES

 CLICK ON ABOVE LETTER TO ENLARGE.


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
ICSC CHIEF SCIENCE ADVISOR, PROFESSOR BOB CARTER, PASSES AWAY

January 20, 2016: Professor Robert (Bob) M. Carter passed away on January 19  after suffering a heart attack the previous week. ICSC will commenerate his life and his accomplishments over the next week with articles and messages that are pouring in from scientists and other admirers across the world. However, in the meantime, one essay about Professor Carter is especially significant, that from his old friend and scientific colleague Dr Gerrit van der Lingen.

Dr. van der Lingen starts:

I have known Bob Carter for a long time, since he was a senior lecturer in the Geology Department of the University of Otago in Dunedin, New Zealand. We knew each other as colleagues. At that time, Bob had written about a mid-Oligocene unconformity, which he named the ”Marshall Paraconformity”. This concept evoked some scientific controversy, in which I was involved (Geological Society of New Zealand Newsletter 72, 1986: 26-33). However, it also generated much new research.

Dr. van der Lingen concludes:

Bob was a very generous person. Whenever I asked him for comments or information, he answered promptly. Even after he recently came back from the Paris COP21 conference. I asked him to send me some of his impressions of COP21. I also asked him if he was willing to write a short endorsement to put on the back cover of my (self-publishing) upcoming book “The Fable of a Stable Climate”. He promptly replied on both requests on 27 December. I will treasure his endorsement, which was probably one of his last actions. He will be sorely missed. The best way for us to show our appreciation and admiration for Bob is to continue our fight against the dark forces of man-made climate change activism.

Having dinner at the Sails restaurant In Noosa, Queensland, Australia, in 2006. From left to right: Anne and Bob Carter, Marianne and Gerrit van der Lingen.

CLICK ON ABOVE PICTURE TO ENLARGE.

Read all of the tribute from Dr. van der Lingen. 


 
BRINGING CLIMATE REALISM TO THE UN'S CLIMATE TALKS IN PARIS

December 5, 2015: The Heartland Institute is leading a delegation of scientists and policy experts to Paris to hold a "counter-conference" during COP-21 called the Day of Examining the Data on Monday, December 7. The intent is to demonstrate there is strong and informed opposition to the plans of President Obama and other western leaders to supposedly 'stop climate change.' Also exposed at the counter-conference will be the true agendas and true costs of the agreement being negotiated at UN climate meetings.

Heartland have made their space available to allies being sent by other organizations, such as International Climate Science Coalition, Cooler Heads Coalition, Heritage Foundation, CFACT, Competitive Enterprise Institute, NIPCC and allied groups in Europe. They will live-stream presentations from the meeting space so the whole world will know we are here, even if the mainstream media boycott us. WATCH the live-stream and auto-archived videos of all the activities, here.


 
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